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Harris On Observe for ~76M Votes, Trump for ~78.3M Votes (a Swing of ~4M to ~5M from Biden-Trump 2020)

Admin by Admin
November 12, 2024
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Harris On Observe for ~76M Votes, Trump for ~78.3M Votes (a Swing of ~4M to ~5M from Biden-Trump 2020)
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The N.Y. Occasions stories that about 95.0% of all votes have been counted, with Harris at 71.7M and Trump at about 75M:

These 95.0% quantity to 148.8M, so which means there are about 7.8M uncounted (that is 148.8M / 0.95 * 0.05), for a complete variety of about 156.6M. (All numbers are approximations.)

Most of these not but counted votes are in California (4.2M there, since 25% of the votes there stay uncounted); fairly a couple of are from Oregon, Washington, Arizona, Utah, and Colorado. These on steadiness tilt Democrat; to date California and Washington have break up roughly 60-40 Democrat, although the opposite states are nearer to 50-50 (and Utah has been splitting 60-40 Republican). This implies that the 7.8M will break up roughly 4.3M Harris to three.3M Trump or thereabouts. Put collectively which means a possible ultimate whole of roughly 76M Harris and 78.3M Trump or so, give or take a couple of hundred thousand. (Possibly 2.3M or a bit extra will go to third-party candidates.)

Once more, when enthusiastic about the 2020-to-2024 vote gulf, it is essential to check the 2020 ultimate outcomes with projected 2024 ultimate outcomes (or simply wait till the 2024 ultimate outcomes are in), somewhat than 2020 ultimate outcomes with early 2024 outcomes.

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The N.Y. Occasions stories that about 95.0% of all votes have been counted, with Harris at 71.7M and Trump at about 75M:

These 95.0% quantity to 148.8M, so which means there are about 7.8M uncounted (that is 148.8M / 0.95 * 0.05), for a complete variety of about 156.6M. (All numbers are approximations.)

Most of these not but counted votes are in California (4.2M there, since 25% of the votes there stay uncounted); fairly a couple of are from Oregon, Washington, Arizona, Utah, and Colorado. These on steadiness tilt Democrat; to date California and Washington have break up roughly 60-40 Democrat, although the opposite states are nearer to 50-50 (and Utah has been splitting 60-40 Republican). This implies that the 7.8M will break up roughly 4.3M Harris to three.3M Trump or thereabouts. Put collectively which means a possible ultimate whole of roughly 76M Harris and 78.3M Trump or so, give or take a couple of hundred thousand. (Possibly 2.3M or a bit extra will go to third-party candidates.)

Once more, when enthusiastic about the 2020-to-2024 vote gulf, it is essential to check the 2020 ultimate outcomes with projected 2024 ultimate outcomes (or simply wait till the 2024 ultimate outcomes are in), somewhat than 2020 ultimate outcomes with early 2024 outcomes.

Tags: 76M78.3MBidenTrumpHarrisSwingTrackTrumpvotes
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