The proof from current years leaves little question: anthropogenic local weather change is accelerating, with its impacts turning into more and more extreme, frequent, and unsafe. These embrace excessive climate occasions, rising international temperatures, sea stage rise, biodiversity loss, threats to agricultural productiveness and meals safety, well being dangers, water shortage, and escalating financial losses. These interconnected challenges usually are not solely harming ecosystems but in addition undermining societal stability and financial resilience. In response to the Sixth Evaluation Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC), with out substantial and quick mitigation efforts to cut back greenhouse gasoline emissions, these impacts will intensify, doubtlessly reaching irreversible tipping factors. The necessity for pressing international motion to restrict warming ranges has by no means been extra crucial (IPCC 2022; 2023). August 2024 represents the fourteenth consecutive month during which international temperatures exceeded the pre-industrial baseline’s month-to-month common (1850–1900) by not less than 1.5 °C, reinforcing the warming pattern’s persistence (Rohde 2024).
The vitality transition is pivotal for decarbonising the worldwide financial system and addressing the urgent challenges of local weather change. Current progress in renewable vitality deployment has been encouraging. In response to the Worldwide Vitality Company (IEA 2024c), wind and photo voltaic photovoltaic (PV) applied sciences are collectively projected to exceed hydropower in electrical energy technology by 2024. Moreover, general renewables are projected to surpass coal energy technology by 2025, marking a pivotal shift within the international vitality panorama. However these encouraging indications, making certain the continuity and acceleration of the vitality transition is crucial to safeguard a sustainable future. Continued efforts should be made to reinforce the deployment of renewable applied sciences to be able to cut back carbon emissions and make sure the institution of dependable and resilient vitality methods on a worldwide scale.
Nevertheless, the idea of vitality transition isn’t restricted to adopting renewable vitality sources. Relatively, it encompasses a multifaceted transformation involving cultural, societal, institutional, political, and technological shifts (Poque González 2020). In analyzing the applied sciences that drive this transition, that are termed ‘low-carbon applied sciences’, international locations usually assume a number of distinct roles. These embrace supplying and processing important inputs for manufacturing chains (crucial minerals), manufacturing these applied sciences, or implementing them domestically. Sure nations, just like the Individuals’s Republic of China, function throughout these roles concurrently, partaking within the extraction of crucial minerals, manufacturing low-carbon applied sciences, and their home deployment (IEA 2022).
The Latin American position
The adoption of low-carbon applied sciences throughout Latin America is indicative of great regional heterogeneity. Notable progress has been made by international locations similar to Uruguay, Costa Rica, Brazil, and Chile in integrating renewable vitality sources, notably photo voltaic and wind energy. In 2022, these applied sciences made a notable contribution to the ability vitality combine in these nations, with photo voltaic and wind accounting for five.7% and 30.8%, respectively, in Uruguay and 0.16% and 11.34% in Costa Rica. In Brazil, the contribution of those applied sciences to the ability vitality combine was 11.85% and 11.51%, respectively, whereas in Chile, it was 23.97% and 12.98% (Castillo et al. 2023). In stark distinction, a major proportion of Caribbean nations proceed to rely closely on fossil fuels as a supply of vitality. As of 2022, fossil fuel-based applied sciences constituted roughly 80% of the area’s energy technology combine when contemplating all Caribbean international locations collectively (OLADE 2023).
The Seventh Sustainable Growth Aim (SDG 7) of the United Nations (UN) goals to make sure entry to reasonably priced, dependable, sustainable, and fashionable vitality for all. Nonetheless, attaining this goal presents appreciable challenges in Latin America and the Caribbean, the place notable social inequalities persist. Regardless of substantial enhancements in electrical energy protection—reaching 97.54% of the inhabitants by 2022 (Castillo et al. 2023)—entry to scrub and fashionable fuels and applied sciences stays erratically distributed throughout socioeconomic and geographic sectors. Notably, vitality poverty stays pronounced: the poorest quintile of the inhabitants has 9 occasions much less entry to electrical energy than the wealthiest quintile, highlighting a persistent hole that disproportionately impacts rural and marginalised communities (United Nations 2023).
Along with structural inequalities, current international crises, such because the COVID-19 pandemic and the battle in Ukraine, have led to sharp will increase in vitality prices, exacerbating inflation all through the area. This inflation has additional burdened low-income households, with many struggling to afford vitality companies (United Nations 2023). In Brazil, the monetary burden of vitality prices is borne disproportionately by low-income households. A survey carried out by the Instituto Clima e Sociedade revealed that roughly one-quarter of the Brazilian inhabitants allocates roughly half of their revenue to bills associated to electrical energy and gasoline. This financial pressure is especially acute amongst lower-income households, who should dedicate a bigger share of their earnings to energy-related wants. In 2021 (additionally in Brazil), practically 40% of the poorest shoppers reported deferring their electrical energy invoice funds for not less than one month on account of rising vitality costs (O Estado de S. Paulo 2022). Making certain common entry to reasonably priced and clear vitality is dependent upon resolving socioeconomic disparities inside and between international locations and mitigating exterior financial pressures exacerbating vitality insecurity amongst susceptible populations (United Nations 2023).
Regarding the Latin American position as a commodities supplier, as articulated in Eduardo Galeano’s seminal work, Open Veins of Latin America: 5 Centuries of the Pillage of a Continent (1972), Latin America has traditionally assumed the position of supplying major supplies to gasoline the event of the International North. Given the area’s ample reserves of crucial minerals wanted for low-carbon applied sciences, the vitality transition may reinforce this extractive position. In 2023, Chile led international copper manufacturing, with Peru rating third. Moreover, Chile and Argentina have been among the many high 5 lithium producers, whereas Brazil held the same place in international graphite manufacturing (IEA 2024b). Nevertheless, the area largely lacks manufacturing capability for low-carbon know-how manufacturing, with Brazil and Mexico as partial exceptions (IEA 2024a).
Socioenvironmental conflicts
Mining actions in Latin America are generally linked to socio-environmental conflicts and, in some cases, catastrophic socio-environmental disasters. Among the many most infamous instances are the collapses of the Mariana and Brumadinho dams in Brazil, which occurred in 2015 and 2019, respectively. These tragedies, etched into collective reminiscence, resulted in practically 300 fatalities and triggered intensive socio-environmental injury, severely disrupting native and regional ecosystems. Such occasions starkly illustrate the profound dangers related to mining operations (Rocha 2021). Equally, on 6 August 2014, the Buenavista del Cobre mine in Cananea, Mexico, launched 40,000 cubic meters of acidified copper sulfate into the Bacanuchi River, a tributary of the Sonora River, Mexico’s second-largest basin. This spill precipitated a significant ecological disaster, additional emphasising the environmental vulnerabilities tied to large-scale mining actions (Gobierno de México 2013).
A considerable physique of analysis―and databases (Mood, Bene, and Martinez-Alier 2015)―has documented the various socio-environmental conflicts related to mining throughout Latin America. For instance, the mining of copper and lithium in Chile has resulted in disputes over water assets with native communities (Akchurin 2023). Equally, within the work entitled This System is Killing Us: In Land Grabbing, the Inexperienced Financial system and Ecological Battle, Dunlap (2024) attracts consideration to the human rights violations related to copper-related disputes in Peru, thereby demonstrating the far-reaching influence of extractive industries on native communities and ecosystems throughout the continent.
Uribe-Sierra, Toscana-Aparicio, and Mora-Rojas (2023) posit that mining actions in Latin America, distinguished by a dearth of business processing and value-added manufacturing, have contributed to the focus of wealth. This focus of income, nonetheless, has intensified territorial pressures, exacerbating socio-environmental conflicts. Whereas the continuing vitality transition is of world urgency, given the crucial to decarbonise the world financial system for long-term sustainability, there’s a important danger that if it continues to observe the present patterns of crucial mineral exploitation in Latin America (and the International South), it could perpetuate the unsustainable dynamics of inequality and environmental degradation within the area.
Vulnerabilities in dealing with the disaster
The World Meteorological Group (WMO) paperwork a variety of great local weather anomalies in South America in 2024, thereby underscoring the intensifying impacts of local weather change on the continent. Through the winter months within the Southern Hemisphere, a number of areas recorded temperatures usually related to the summer time season. Areas in Bolivia, Paraguay, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and northern Argentina skilled temperatures exceeding 30 °C, some above 35 °C. In distinction, throughout the preliminary days of July, an unanticipated chilly entrance impacted quite a few areas throughout South America. In southern Peru, heavy snowfall considerably broken infrastructure, resulting in a number of residential constructions and buildings collapsing. Moreover, temperatures as little as -6 °C have been recorded in southern Brazil and Uruguay on 9 July, underscoring the area’s susceptibility to unseasonable warmth and excessive chilly (WMO 2024). Furthermore, the start of this 12 months noticed the devastation wrought by extreme flooding in southern Brazil and, extra not too long ago, Hurricane Rafael in Cuba (European Union 2024; PAHO 2024). All these occasions served as an instance the area’s vulnerability to excessive climate occurrences.
The 12 months 2024 has introduced unprecedented scenes throughout Latin America, marked by intensive fireplace emergencies. In Argentina, wildfires ravaged 148,678 hectares throughout Córdoba and San Luis provinces throughout September and October of 2024 (Portal Oficial del Estado Argentino 2024). By 10 November, the TerraBrasilis platform had recorded 252,075 fireplace outbreaks in Brazil, with the Amazon biome struggling the best influence, accounting for not less than 50% of the occasions (INPE 2024). These occasions underscore the intensifying pressures on important ecosystems within the area, exacerbated by local weather change and land-use adjustments.
These points usually are not merely statistical; they concern ecosystems which are elementary to sustaining the ecological balances important for all times on Earth. Because the world’s largest tropical forest, the Amazon performs a significant position in international local weather regulation, with the capability to sequester huge quantities of carbon dioxide and launch oxygen. The results of such degradation or destruction lengthen far past the boundaries of Brazil, affecting the worldwide and regional biophysical balances. Tropical forests such because the Amazon are important for sustaining planetary well being, thereby highlighting the worldwide significance of their preservation (Revista Amazonia 2024).
Ultimate phrases
Industrial actions related to the manufacturing of crucial minerals embody a fancy duality. Whereas important for decarbonising the worldwide financial system and enhancing nationwide economies, additionally they have the potential to generate important socio-environmental conflicts if sustainable practices usually are not upheld all through manufacturing chains. This danger is especially regarding in Latin America and the Caribbean, the place the area’s vulnerability to intensifying local weather change-related occasions may exacerbate the antagonistic impacts of unsustainable useful resource extraction, resulting in heightened pressures on each communities and ecosystems. Political definitions turned crucial.
Lately, the area has seen important fluctuations in governmental approaches to environmental stewardship. Leaders similar to Gustavo Petro in Colombia and Luiz Inácio ‘Lula’ da Silva in Brazil have advocated for bold environmental agendas integrating ecological safety with financial improvement methods. In distinction, different figures, together with Javier Milei (Argentina) and, beforehand, Jair Bolsonaro (Brazil), have persistently downplayed the importance of local weather change, prioritising short-term financial pursuits over environmental considerations. This divergence displays a broader regional instability in dedication to sustainable insurance policies, impacting the effectiveness of coordinated local weather motion. Nonetheless, the area’s long-standing dependence on pure assets stays fixed and is perpetuated throughout political spectrums, from neoliberal to progressive to centrist governments. This enduring dependency poses a major problem to advancing a extra sustainable and diversified financial mannequin.
It seems that each native and international economies require new fashions that transcend mere vitality kind substitution. An financial system closely reliant on intensive vitality and materials consumption presents no true resolution if it merely replaces fossil fuels with renewables. Whereas renewable vitality applied sciences don’t emit pollution throughout operation, their improvement calls for intensive crucial mineral assets, resulting in environmental and social impacts―primarily―in peripherical areas. A sustainable transition, due to this fact, should additionally deal with consumption patterns and take into account the broader implications of infrastructure calls for on susceptible ecosystems and communities worldwide. Reevaluating the biophysical limits of our planet and guiding the transition inside the framework of planetary boundaries is pressing and crucial. Addressing this want is crucial for making certain that sustainable improvement pathways stay aligned with the Earth’s ecological capability, thereby stopping irreversible environmental degradation.
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